Tunisia vs Uganda: Team Comparison
TunisiavsUganda 
Comparing Tunisia and Uganda across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Tunisia — a 62% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 22%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Uganda carry the stronger recent form, Tunisia project for more goals (1.90 xG), Tunisia have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Tunisia | Metric | Uganda |
|---|---|---|
| 63 | Strength rating | 25 |
| 62% | Win probability | 16% |
| L L L L L | Recent form | L D L L W |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 1.90 | Expected goals | 0.70 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Tunisia or Uganda?
The model favours Tunisia at 62%, with the draw at 22%.