Ghana vs Republic of the Gambia: Team Comparison

Ghana GhanavsRepublic of the Gambia Republic of the Gambia

Comparing Ghana and Republic of the Gambia across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Ghana — a 55% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.

The detail backs this up: Republic of the Gambia carry the stronger recent form, Ghana project for more goals (1.74 xG), Ghana have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.

GhanaMetricRepublic of the Gambia
63Strength rating39
55%Win probability21%
L L L D WRecent formW L L D W
2Head-to-head wins0
1.74Expected goals0.86
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Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.

Who is more likely to win, Ghana or Republic of the Gambia?

The model favours Ghana at 55%, with the draw at 24%.