Guinea vs Kenya: Team Comparison
GuineavsKenya 
Comparing Guinea and Kenya across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Guinea — a 53% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 28%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Kenya carry the stronger recent form, Guinea project for more goals (1.75 xG), Guinea have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Guinea | Metric | Kenya |
|---|---|---|
| 53 | Strength rating | 47 |
| 53% | Win probability | 19% |
| L L L D D | Recent form | D W D W L |
| 4 | Head-to-head wins | 4 |
| 1.75 | Expected goals | 0.85 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Guinea or Kenya?
The model favours Guinea at 53%, with the draw at 28%.