Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa: Team Comparison

Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham HotspurvsAston Villa Aston Villa

Comparing Tottenham Hotspur and Aston Villa across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Tottenham Hotspur — a 49% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.

The detail backs this up: Tottenham Hotspur project for more goals (1.70 xG), Tottenham Hotspur have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.

Tottenham HotspurMetricAston Villa
67Strength rating46
49%Win probability25%
W D W L LRecent formD W L L D
8Head-to-head wins7
1.70Expected goals0.93
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Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.

Who is more likely to win, Tottenham Hotspur or Aston Villa?

The model favours Tottenham Hotspur at 49%, with the draw at 26%.