Manchester City vs Sunderland: Team Comparison
Manchester CityvsSunderland 
Comparing Manchester City and Sunderland across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Manchester City — a 71% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 15%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Sunderland carry the stronger recent form, Manchester City project for more goals (2.13 xG), Sunderland have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Manchester City | Metric | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| 58 | Strength rating | 47 |
| 71% | Win probability | 15% |
| L D L L L | Recent form | W L W L L |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 11 |
| 2.13 | Expected goals | 0.54 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Manchester City or Sunderland?
The model favours Manchester City at 71%, with the draw at 15%.