Deportivo Alaves vs Valencia: Team Comparison
Deportivo AlavesvsValencia 
Comparing Deportivo Alaves and Valencia across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Deportivo Alaves — a 44% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 31%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Deportivo Alaves carry the stronger recent form, Deportivo Alaves project for more goals (1.74 xG), Deportivo Alaves have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Deportivo Alaves | Metric | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| 59 | Strength rating | 35 |
| 44% | Win probability | 25% |
| W L W D L | Recent form | L L D L W |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 5 |
| 1.74 | Expected goals | 1.08 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Deportivo Alaves or Valencia?
The model favours Deportivo Alaves at 44%, with the draw at 31%.