Malaga vs Villarreal: Team Comparison
MalagavsVillarreal 
Comparing Malaga and Villarreal across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Villarreal — a 48% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 25%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Villarreal project for more goals (1.25 xG), Villarreal have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Malaga | Metric | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | Strength rating | 49 |
| 26% | Win probability | 48% |
| L D L D L | Recent form | L L L D D |
| 4 | Head-to-head wins | 7 |
| 0.88 | Expected goals | 1.25 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Malaga or Villarreal?
The model favours Villarreal at 48%, with the draw at 25%.