Corinthians Paulista vs Fluminense: Team Comparison
Corinthians PaulistavsFluminense 
Comparing Corinthians Paulista and Fluminense across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Corinthians Paulista — a 43% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 30%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Fluminense carry the stronger recent form, Corinthians Paulista project for more goals (1.30 xG), Fluminense have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Corinthians Paulista | Metric | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| 46 | Strength rating | 43 |
| 43% | Win probability | 27% |
| L L W L D | Recent form | L D W W L |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 1.30 | Expected goals | 0.87 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Corinthians Paulista or Fluminense?
The model favours Corinthians Paulista at 43%, with the draw at 30%.