Puebla vs Deportivo Toluca: Team Comparison
PueblavsDeportivo Toluca 
Comparing Puebla and Deportivo Toluca across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Puebla — a 41% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Puebla project for more goals (0.93 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Puebla | Metric | Deportivo Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 53 | Strength rating | 50 |
| 41% | Win probability | 33% |
| D L W | Recent form | — |
| 0.93 | Expected goals | 0.72 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Puebla or Deportivo Toluca?
The model favours Puebla at 41%, with the draw at 27%.