Liberia vs Mali: Team Comparison
LiberiavsMali 
Comparing Liberia and Mali across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Mali — a 65% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Mali carry the stronger recent form, Mali project for more goals (1.98 xG), Mali have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Liberia | Metric | Mali |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Strength rating | 72 |
| 13% | Win probability | 65% |
| L W L D L | Recent form | W L D L W |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 0.62 | Expected goals | 1.98 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Liberia or Mali?
The model favours Mali at 65%, with the draw at 23%.