Germany vs Serbia: Team Comparison
GermanyvsSerbia 
Comparing Germany and Serbia across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Germany — a 79% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 14%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Germany carry the stronger recent form, Germany project for more goals (2.24 xG), Germany have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Germany | Metric | Serbia |
|---|---|---|
| 74 | Strength rating | 22 |
| 79% | Win probability | 7% |
| D L L W W | Recent form | L L L L W |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 2.24 | Expected goals | 0.36 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Germany or Serbia?
The model favours Germany at 79%, with the draw at 14%.