Wales vs Norway: Team Comparison
WalesvsNorway 
Comparing Wales and Norway across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Norway — a 61% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 22%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Norway carry the stronger recent form, Norway project for more goals (1.87 xG), Wales have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Wales | Metric | Norway |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Strength rating | 61 |
| 17% | Win probability | 61% |
| L L L D D | Recent form | L W L W W |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 0.73 | Expected goals | 1.87 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Wales or Norway?
The model favours Norway at 61%, with the draw at 22%.