Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid: Team Comparison
Atletico MadridvsReal Madrid 
Comparing Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Real Madrid — a 37% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 29%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Atletico Madrid have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Atletico Madrid | Metric | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 39 | Strength rating | 42 |
| 34% | Win probability | 37% |
| L L L L W | Recent form | L L W D L |
| 6 | Head-to-head wins | 4 |
| 1.18 | Expected goals | 1.12 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Atletico Madrid or Real Madrid?
The model favours Real Madrid at 37%, with the draw at 29%.