Arsenal vs Leeds United: Team Comparison
ArsenalvsLeeds United 
Comparing Arsenal and Leeds United across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Arsenal — a 64% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 18%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Leeds United carry the stronger recent form, Arsenal project for more goals (2.00 xG), Leeds United have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Arsenal | Metric | Leeds United |
|---|---|---|
| 57 | Strength rating | 47 |
| 64% | Win probability | 18% |
| D L L D D | Recent form | L W W W L |
| 0 | Head-to-head wins | 13 |
| 2.00 | Expected goals | 0.66 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Arsenal or Leeds United?
The model favours Arsenal at 64%, with the draw at 18%.