Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur: Team Comparison

Manchester United Manchester UnitedvsTottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur

Comparing Manchester United and Tottenham Hotspur across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Manchester United — a 57% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.

The detail backs this up: Manchester United carry the stronger recent form, Manchester United project for more goals (1.87 xG), Tottenham Hotspur have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.

Manchester UnitedMetricTottenham Hotspur
60Strength rating32
57%Win probability20%
D L L W DRecent formL L D D L
5Head-to-head wins6
1.87Expected goals0.78
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Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.

Who is more likely to win, Manchester United or Tottenham Hotspur?

The model favours Manchester United at 57%, with the draw at 23%.