Chelsea vs Bournemouth: Team Comparison
ChelseavsBournemouth 
Comparing Chelsea and Bournemouth across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Chelsea — a 57% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 22%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Chelsea project for more goals (1.85 xG), Chelsea have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Chelsea | Metric | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| 61 | Strength rating | 38 |
| 57% | Win probability | 21% |
| L D W L W | Recent form | L W D W D |
| 7 | Head-to-head wins | 3 |
| 1.85 | Expected goals | 0.79 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Chelsea or Bournemouth?
The model favours Chelsea at 57%, with the draw at 22%.