St. Louis City vs Toronto: Team Comparison
St. Louis CityvsToronto 
Comparing St. Louis City and Toronto across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward St. Louis City — a 59% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 19%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Toronto carry the stronger recent form, St. Louis City project for more goals (2.09 xG), Toronto have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| St. Louis City | Metric | Toronto |
|---|---|---|
| 58 | Strength rating | 48 |
| 59% | Win probability | 22% |
| L L D D W | Recent form | W L D W D |
| 0 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 2.09 | Expected goals | 0.86 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, St. Louis City or Toronto?
The model favours St. Louis City at 59%, with the draw at 19%.