Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union: Team Comparison

Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas CityvsPhiladelphia Union Philadelphia Union

Comparing Sporting Kansas City and Philadelphia Union across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Philadelphia Union — a 65% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 19%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.

The detail backs this up: Philadelphia Union carry the stronger recent form, Philadelphia Union project for more goals (2.06 xG), Philadelphia Union have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.

Sporting Kansas CityMetricPhiladelphia Union
38Strength rating82
16%Win probability65%
W L L L DRecent formW W W W D
5Head-to-head wins6
0.77Expected goals2.06
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Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.

Who is more likely to win, Sporting Kansas City or Philadelphia Union?

The model favours Philadelphia Union at 65%, with the draw at 19%.