1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Team Comparison
1. FSV Mainz 05vsBayer 04 Leverkusen 
Comparing 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Bayer 04 Leverkusen — a 43% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Bayer 04 Leverkusen carry the stronger recent form, 1. FSV Mainz 05 have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | Metric | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| 43 | Strength rating | 64 |
| 34% | Win probability | 43% |
| L L D L L | Recent form | W W W D W |
| 10 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 1.39 | Expected goals | 1.50 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
The model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 43%, with the draw at 23%.