Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen: Team Comparison

Borussia Dortmund Borussia DortmundvsWerder Bremen Werder Bremen

Comparing Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Borussia Dortmund — a 66% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 16%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.

The detail backs this up: Werder Bremen carry the stronger recent form, Borussia Dortmund project for more goals (2.83 xG), Werder Bremen have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.

Borussia DortmundMetricWerder Bremen
57Strength rating47
66%Win probability18%
L D L L WRecent formW L L W W
2Head-to-head wins8
2.83Expected goals0.91
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Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.

Who is more likely to win, Borussia Dortmund or Werder Bremen?

The model favours Borussia Dortmund at 66%, with the draw at 16%.