AS Monaco vs Toulouse: Team Comparison
AS MonacovsToulouse 
Comparing AS Monaco and Toulouse across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward AS Monaco — a 56% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 22%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: AS Monaco carry the stronger recent form, AS Monaco project for more goals (2.56 xG), Toulouse have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| AS Monaco | Metric | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|
| 58 | Strength rating | 39 |
| 56% | Win probability | 22% |
| L D W D W | Recent form | L D W L L |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 8 |
| 2.56 | Expected goals | 1.15 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, AS Monaco or Toulouse?
The model favours AS Monaco at 56%, with the draw at 22%.