Croatia vs England: Team Comparison
CroatiavsEngland 
Comparing Croatia and England across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward England — a 45% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 21%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Croatia carry the stronger recent form, England project for more goals (1.43 xG), Croatia have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Croatia | Metric | England |
|---|---|---|
| 69 | Strength rating | 59 |
| 34% | Win probability | 45% |
| W W W W W | Recent form | W L L W W |
| 7 | Head-to-head wins | 3 |
| 1.17 | Expected goals | 1.43 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Croatia or England?
The model favours England at 45%, with the draw at 21%.