Bournemouth vs Aston Villa: Team Comparison
BournemouthvsAston Villa 
Comparing Bournemouth and Aston Villa across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Bournemouth — a 42% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Aston Villa carry the stronger recent form, Bournemouth project for more goals (3.44 xG), Aston Villa have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Bournemouth | Metric | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 62 | Strength rating | 63 |
| 42% | Win probability | 31% |
| W W W L L | Recent form | W W W W D |
| 4 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 3.44 | Expected goals | 2.50 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Bournemouth or Aston Villa?
The model favours Bournemouth at 42%, with the draw at 27%.