Liverpool vs Chelsea: Team Comparison
LiverpoolvsChelsea 
Comparing Liverpool and Chelsea across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Liverpool — a 39% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Liverpool carry the stronger recent form, Liverpool project for more goals (3.15 xG), Liverpool have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Liverpool | Metric | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| 64 | Strength rating | 47 |
| 39% | Win probability | 37% |
| W W W L W | Recent form | L W W L D |
| 6 | Head-to-head wins | 3 |
| 3.15 | Expected goals | 2.76 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Liverpool or Chelsea?
The model favours Liverpool at 39%, with the draw at 24%.