San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers: Team Comparison
San Jose EarthquakesvsPortland Timbers 
Comparing San Jose Earthquakes and Portland Timbers across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward San Jose Earthquakes — a 51% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: San Jose Earthquakes project for more goals (1.90 xG), San Jose Earthquakes have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| San Jose Earthquakes | Metric | Portland Timbers |
|---|---|---|
| 64 | Strength rating | 45 |
| 51% | Win probability | 26% |
| W L D L W | Recent form | D L W D D |
| 7 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 1.90 | Expected goals | 1.03 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, San Jose Earthquakes or Portland Timbers?
The model favours San Jose Earthquakes at 51%, with the draw at 24%.