Ayr United vs Stenhousemuir: Team Comparison
Ayr UnitedvsStenhousemuir 
Comparing Ayr United and Stenhousemuir across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Ayr United — a 39% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Ayr United project for more goals (1.45 xG), Stenhousemuir have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Ayr United | Metric | Stenhousemuir |
|---|---|---|
| 43 | Strength rating | 60 |
| 39% | Win probability | 33% |
| L L W W L | Recent form | W W L D L |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 8 |
| 1.45 | Expected goals | 1.16 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Ayr United or Stenhousemuir?
The model favours Ayr United at 39%, with the draw at 27%.