Everton vs Chelsea: Team Comparison
EvertonvsChelsea 
Comparing Everton and Chelsea across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Chelsea — a 38% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 25%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Everton carry the stronger recent form, Everton have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Everton | Metric | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| 62 | Strength rating | 48 |
| 37% | Win probability | 38% |
| W W D D D | Recent form | L D W L W |
| 6 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 1.35 | Expected goals | 1.25 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Everton or Chelsea?
The model favours Chelsea at 38%, with the draw at 25%.