Watford vs Burnley: Team Comparison
WatfordvsBurnley 
Comparing Watford and Burnley across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Burnley — a 45% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Burnley project for more goals (1.57 xG), Burnley have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Watford | Metric | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| 36 | Strength rating | 55 |
| 31% | Win probability | 45% |
| L L W L L | Recent form | D L D L D |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 8 |
| 1.31 | Expected goals | 1.57 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Watford or Burnley?
The model favours Burnley at 45%, with the draw at 24%.