Derby County vs Wrexham: Team Comparison
Derby CountyvsWrexham 
Comparing Derby County and Wrexham across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Wrexham — a 37% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Wrexham carry the stronger recent form, Derby County have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Derby County | Metric | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| 46 | Strength rating | 55 |
| 36% | Win probability | 37% |
| D L L L W | Recent form | W L D D W |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.13 | Expected goals | 1.02 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Derby County or Wrexham?
The model favours Wrexham at 37%, with the draw at 27%.