Ukraine vs Northern Ireland: Team Comparison
UkrainevsNorthern Ireland 
Comparing Ukraine and Northern Ireland across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Ukraine — a 52% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Ukraine project for more goals (1.71 xG), Ukraine have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Ukraine | Metric | Northern Ireland |
|---|---|---|
| 67 | Strength rating | 41 |
| 52% | Win probability | 21% |
| D W L W W | Recent form | D W L W D |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 1.71 | Expected goals | 0.89 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Ukraine or Northern Ireland?
The model favours Ukraine at 52%, with the draw at 27%.