Heerenveen vs Excelsior: Team Comparison
HeerenveenvsExcelsior 
Comparing Heerenveen and Excelsior across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Heerenveen — a 43% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Heerenveen carry the stronger recent form, Heerenveen project for more goals (1.70 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Heerenveen | Metric | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| 62 | Strength rating | 38 |
| 43% | Win probability | 31% |
| W L W D | Recent form | L L D L D |
| 1.70 | Expected goals | 1.22 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Heerenveen or Excelsior?
The model favours Heerenveen at 43%, with the draw at 26%.