Cruz Azul vs Deportivo Toluca: Team Comparison
Cruz AzulvsDeportivo Toluca 
Comparing Cruz Azul and Deportivo Toluca across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Cruz Azul — a 37% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 27%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Cruz Azul project for more goals (1.38 xG), Deportivo Toluca have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Cruz Azul | Metric | Deportivo Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 48 | Strength rating | 41 |
| 37% | Win probability | 36% |
| W L L L L | Recent form | L L L L W |
| 4 | Head-to-head wins | 7 |
| 1.38 | Expected goals | 1.22 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Cruz Azul or Deportivo Toluca?
The model favours Cruz Azul at 37%, with the draw at 27%.