Real Madrid vs Sevilla: Team Comparison
Real MadridvsSevilla 
Comparing Real Madrid and Sevilla across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Real Madrid — a 74% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 14%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Real Madrid carry the stronger recent form, Real Madrid project for more goals (1.96 xG), Sevilla have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Real Madrid | Metric | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| 78 | Strength rating | 37 |
| 74% | Win probability | 12% |
| W W W L D | Recent form | L W L L L |
| 0 | Head-to-head wins | 13 |
| 1.96 | Expected goals | 0.41 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Real Madrid or Sevilla?
The model favours Real Madrid at 74%, with the draw at 14%.