Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao: Team Comparison
ValenciavsAthletic Bilbao 
Comparing Valencia and Athletic Bilbao across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Athletic Bilbao — a 44% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 28%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Athletic Bilbao project for more goals (1.44 xG), Valencia have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Valencia | Metric | Athletic Bilbao |
|---|---|---|
| 53 | Strength rating | 62 |
| 27% | Win probability | 44% |
| W D D L W | Recent form | W W L W L |
| 6 | Head-to-head wins | 4 |
| 1.14 | Expected goals | 1.44 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Valencia or Athletic Bilbao?
The model favours Athletic Bilbao at 44%, with the draw at 28%.