Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid: Team Comparison
EspanyolvsAtletico Madrid 
Comparing Espanyol and Atletico Madrid across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Atletico Madrid — a 52% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 25%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Atletico Madrid carry the stronger recent form, Atletico Madrid project for more goals (2.72 xG), Espanyol have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Espanyol | Metric | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | Strength rating | 63 |
| 22% | Win probability | 52% |
| L L W L L | Recent form | W L W D L |
| 6 | Head-to-head wins | 4 |
| 1.62 | Expected goals | 2.72 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Espanyol or Atletico Madrid?
The model favours Atletico Madrid at 52%, with the draw at 25%.