Everton vs Newcastle United: Team Comparison
EvertonvsNewcastle United 
Comparing Everton and Newcastle United across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Everton — a 43% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 28%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Everton carry the stronger recent form, Everton project for more goals (1.30 xG), Everton have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Everton | Metric | Newcastle United |
|---|---|---|
| 57 | Strength rating | 42 |
| 43% | Win probability | 29% |
| W L L L W | Recent form | L W D L L |
| 6 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 1.30 | Expected goals | 0.87 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Everton or Newcastle United?
The model favours Everton at 43%, with the draw at 28%.