Mexico vs Colombia: Team Comparison

Mexico MexicovsColombia Colombia

Mexico and Colombia are closely matched across the key metrics — the model splits them at 36% vs 36%, with the draw a live 27%. This is a fixture without an obvious favourite.

The detail backs this up: Mexico carry the stronger recent form, Colombia have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.

MexicoMetricColombia
51Strength rating55
36%Win probability36%
L W W W WRecent formL W D W W
3Head-to-head wins9
1.37Expected goals1.23
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Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.

Who is more likely to win, Mexico or Colombia?

It's very even: 36% vs 36%, draw 27%.