Wales vs Denmark: Team Comparison
WalesvsDenmark 
Comparing Wales and Denmark across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Denmark — a 52% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 20%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Denmark carry the stronger recent form, Denmark project for more goals (1.62 xG), Wales have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Wales | Metric | Denmark |
|---|---|---|
| 39 | Strength rating | 61 |
| 28% | Win probability | 52% |
| L L L D L | Recent form | W L L D D |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 2 |
| 0.98 | Expected goals | 1.62 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Wales or Denmark?
The model favours Denmark at 52%, with the draw at 20%.