France vs Belgium: Team Comparison
FrancevsBelgium 
Comparing France and Belgium across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward France — a 61% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 19%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: France project for more goals (2.33 xG), Belgium have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| France | Metric | Belgium |
|---|---|---|
| 71 | Strength rating | 44 |
| 61% | Win probability | 20% |
| W W L W L | Recent form | L W W W L |
| 2 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 2.33 | Expected goals | 0.97 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, France or Belgium?
The model favours France at 61%, with the draw at 19%.