Guatemala vs El Salvador: Team Comparison
GuatemalavsEl Salvador 
Comparing Guatemala and El Salvador across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Guatemala — a 47% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 25%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Guatemala carry the stronger recent form, Guatemala project for more goals (1.55 xG), El Salvador have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Guatemala | Metric | El Salvador |
|---|---|---|
| 51 | Strength rating | 35 |
| 47% | Win probability | 28% |
| L D L W D | Recent form | L L L L L |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 8 |
| 1.55 | Expected goals | 1.05 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Guatemala or El Salvador?
The model favours Guatemala at 47%, with the draw at 25%.