Puebla vs Leon: Team Comparison
PueblavsLeon 
Comparing Puebla and Leon across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Leon — a 42% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 28%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Leon carry the stronger recent form, Leon project for more goals (1.38 xG), Leon have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Puebla | Metric | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 41 | Strength rating | 64 |
| 30% | Win probability | 42% |
| L D L W L | Recent form | W D W L W |
| 6 | Head-to-head wins | 7 |
| 1.20 | Expected goals | 1.38 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Puebla or Leon?
The model favours Leon at 42%, with the draw at 28%.