Saudi Arabia vs Iraq: Team Comparison
Saudi ArabiavsIraq 
Comparing Saudi Arabia and Iraq across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Saudi Arabia — a 47% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 29%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Saudi Arabia carry the stronger recent form, Saudi Arabia project for more goals (1.47 xG), Iraq have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Saudi Arabia | Metric | Iraq |
|---|---|---|
| 65 | Strength rating | 47 |
| 47% | Win probability | 25% |
| W W D L D | Recent form | W D L L L |
| 5 | Head-to-head wins | 6 |
| 1.47 | Expected goals | 0.86 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Saudi Arabia or Iraq?
The model favours Saudi Arabia at 47%, with the draw at 29%.