Fiji vs New Caledonia: Team Comparison
FijivsNew Caledonia 
Comparing Fiji and New Caledonia across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Fiji — a 56% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Fiji project for more goals (1.84 xG), New Caledonia have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Fiji | Metric | New Caledonia |
|---|---|---|
| 64 | Strength rating | 37 |
| 56% | Win probability | 21% |
| W L D D L | Recent form | L W L L W |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 4 |
| 1.84 | Expected goals | 0.81 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Fiji or New Caledonia?
The model favours Fiji at 56%, with the draw at 23%.