Iceland vs Bulgaria: Team Comparison
IcelandvsBulgaria 
Comparing Iceland and Bulgaria across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Iceland — a 62% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Iceland carry the stronger recent form, Iceland project for more goals (1.91 xG), Iceland have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Iceland | Metric | Bulgaria |
|---|---|---|
| 79 | Strength rating | 39 |
| 62% | Win probability | 15% |
| D W D W W | Recent form | W D W L D |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 1.91 | Expected goals | 0.69 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Iceland or Bulgaria?
The model favours Iceland at 62%, with the draw at 24%.