Nicaragua vs Costa Rica: Team Comparison
NicaraguavsCosta Rica 
Comparing Nicaragua and Costa Rica across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Costa Rica — a 56% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 22%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Nicaragua carry the stronger recent form, Costa Rica project for more goals (1.73 xG), Nicaragua have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Nicaragua | Metric | Costa Rica |
|---|---|---|
| 44 | Strength rating | 45 |
| 22% | Win probability | 56% |
| L W L L W | Recent form | L L L D L |
| 6 | Head-to-head wins | 0 |
| 0.87 | Expected goals | 1.73 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Nicaragua or Costa Rica?
The model favours Costa Rica at 56%, with the draw at 22%.