Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao: Team Comparison
Real SociedadvsAthletic Bilbao 
Comparing Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Real Sociedad — a 43% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Real Sociedad project for more goals (1.37 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Real Sociedad | Metric | Athletic Bilbao |
|---|---|---|
| 59 | Strength rating | 49 |
| 43% | Win probability | 31% |
| W L L W | Recent form | D D D |
| 1.37 | Expected goals | 0.98 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Real Sociedad or Athletic Bilbao?
The model favours Real Sociedad at 43%, with the draw at 26%.