Scotland vs Slovenia: Team Comparison

Scotland ScotlandvsSlovenia Slovenia

Comparing Scotland and Slovenia across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Scotland — a 39% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 29%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.

The detail backs this up: Slovenia carry the stronger recent form, Scotland project for more goals (1.24 xG), Slovenia have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.

ScotlandMetricSlovenia
41Strength rating59
39%Win probability31%
L D L D WRecent formW D W W W
0Head-to-head wins2
1.24Expected goals1.06
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Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.

Who is more likely to win, Scotland or Slovenia?

The model favours Scotland at 39%, with the draw at 29%.