Estonia vs Iceland: Team Comparison
EstoniavsIceland 
Comparing Estonia and Iceland across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Iceland — a 56% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 24%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Estonia carry the stronger recent form, Iceland project for more goals (1.75 xG), Estonia have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Estonia | Metric | Iceland |
|---|---|---|
| 36 | Strength rating | 51 |
| 21% | Win probability | 56% |
| L W D W L | Recent form | L D D L L |
| 1 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 0.85 | Expected goals | 1.75 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Estonia or Iceland?
The model favours Iceland at 56%, with the draw at 24%.