Ilkeston vs Guiseley: Team Comparison
IlkestonvsGuiseley 
Comparing Ilkeston and Guiseley across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Guiseley — a 53% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 23%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Guiseley carry the stronger recent form, Guiseley project for more goals (1.58 xG), Ilkeston have the better head-to-head record. Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Ilkeston | Metric | Guiseley |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | Strength rating | 66 |
| 25% | Win probability | 53% |
| L L L L L | Recent form | W L W W W |
| 3 | Head-to-head wins | 1 |
| 0.99 | Expected goals | 1.58 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Ilkeston or Guiseley?
The model favours Guiseley at 53%, with the draw at 23%.