Saint Martin vs Bahamas: Team Comparison
Saint MartinvsBahamas 
Comparing Saint Martin and Bahamas across the metrics that matter, the model leans toward Saint Martin — a 43% win probability once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. The draw sits at 26%. Below, the head-to-head numbers show where that edge comes from.
The detail backs this up: Saint Martin carry the stronger recent form, Saint Martin project for more goals (2.25 xG). Read together, these are the factors separating the two sides — not a single number but the weight of several pointing the same way.
| Saint Martin | Metric | Bahamas |
|---|---|---|
| 65 | Strength rating | 35 |
| 43% | Win probability | 32% |
| W W L W | Recent form | L L L L |
| 2.25 | Expected goals | 1.80 |
Comparison based on odds, recent form and head-to-head data. For information only — not betting advice. 18+.
Who is more likely to win, Saint Martin or Bahamas?
The model favours Saint Martin at 43%, with the draw at 26%.